Analysis of the Short-Term Forecast of Covid-19 Related Confirmed Cases, Deaths Cases and Infection Rates in Georgia from September 2020 to October 2021

Amiranashvili, A.; Khazaradze, K.; Japaridze, N.; Revishvili, A.

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://openlibrary.ge/handle/123456789/9543

Title:	Analysis of the Short-Term Forecast of Covid-19 Related Confirmed Cases, Deaths Cases and Infection Rates in Georgia from September 2020 to October 2021
Authors:	Georgian State Teaching University of Physical Education and Sport, Tbilisi, Georgi Tbilisi State Medical University, Tbilisi, Georgia Amiranashvili, A. Khazaradze, K. Japaridze, N. Revishvili, A. Mikheil Nodia Institute of Geophysics of Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia
Keywords:	Natural Disasters in the 21st Century: Monitoring, Prevention, Mitigation;Proceedings;New Coronavirus COVID-19;statistical analysis;short-term prediction
Issue Date:	2021
Citation:	International Scientific Conference „Natural Disasters in the 21st Century: Monitoring, Prevention, Mitigation“. Proceedings, ISBN 978-9941-491-52-8, Tbilisi, Georgia, December 20-22, 2021. Publish House of Iv. Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, 2021, pp. 167 - 171.
Abstract:	Results of analysis of averaging ten day, two week and monthly interval prediction of daily data associated with such parameters of the new coronavirus covid-19 pandemic in Georgia, as infection cases (C), deaths cases (D) and infection rate (I) from September 2020 to October 2021 are presented. Comparison of real and calculated predictions data of C, D and I are carried out. It was found that in the study period the mean ten day, two-week and monthly real values of C, D and I practically fall into the 67% - 99.99% confidence interval of these predicted values.
URI:	http://openlibrary.ge/handle/123456789/9543
Appears in Collections:	International Scientific Conference „Natural Disasters in the 21st Century: Monitoring, Prevention, Mitigation“ - (2021)

Files in This Item:

File	Description	Size	Format
43_Conf_ND_2021.pdf	Analysis of the Short-Term Forecast of Covid-19 Related Confirmed Cases, Deaths Cases and Infection Rates in Georgia from September 2020 to October 2021	406.41 kB	Adobe PDF	View/Open

Show full item record

Welcome to the Georgian Open Library Digital Repository!

This service, being maintained by the National Science Library at Tbilisi State University, increases the visibility of Georgian Scientific Community's research and the materials within it are centrally stored and preserved.